Nonmetropolitan Iowa vs. Iowa Comparative Trends Analysis: Population Growth and Change, 1969-2022 Introduction Nonmetropolitan Iowa: 2022 Population = 1,222,054 2022 Percent of State = 38.18% Iowa: 2022 Population = 3,200,517 2022 Percent of U.S. = 0.96% Attracting and retaining people to live, work, raise a family, and retire underlies the economic vitality of any region. Population growth is both a cause--and a consequence--of economic growth. Patterns of population growth and change reflect differences among regions to attract and retain people both as producers and consumers in their economy. The following graphs offer a broad overview of trends in the pattern of population growth and change of Nonmetropolitan Iowa with comparisons to Iowa and the nation at large. This analysis features alternative approaches toward discussing, diagnosing and comparing Nonmetropolitan Iowa vs. Iowa's population growth over 1969-2022. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce. Population, 1969-2022 Figure 1. Figure 1 traces Nonmetropolitan Iowa's annual population for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Nonmetropolitan Iowa's population dropped from 1,416,863 in 1969 to 1,222,054 in 2022, for a net loss of -194,809, or -13.75%. NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities. Population, 1969-2022 Figure 2. Figure 2 tracks Iowa's annual population for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Iowa's population rose from 2,805,000 in 1969 to 3,200,517 in 2022, for a net gain of 395,517, or 14.10%. NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities. Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022 Figure 3. Figure 3 shows Nonmetropolitan Iowa's population growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Iowa, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's population in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the populations in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in population growth between regions that may differ vastly in size. Nonmetropolitan Iowa's overall population growth was -13.75% over 1969-2022 trailed Iowa's increase of 14.10%, and fell below the United States' increase of 65.57%. Population as a Percent of the Iowa Total: 1969-2022 Figure 4. Another interesting and insightful way of contrasting the population growth of Nonmetropolitan Iowa is to trace its individual percentage contributions to Iowa's statewide population over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's population grew faster, or declined less, than Iowa's population, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly. In 1969, Nonmetropolitan Iowa's population comprised 50.51% of Iowa's population, while in 2022 it equated to 38.18% thereby yielding a -12.33% share-shift.
Nonmetropolitan Iowa Population: Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022 Figure 5. Figure 5 displays the short-run pattern of Nonmetropolitan Iowa's population growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also traced on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average. On average, Nonmetropolitan Iowa's population contracted at an annual rate of -0.28% over 1970-2022. Nonmetropolitan Iowa recorded its highest growth in 1977 (0.58%) and recorded its lowest growth in 1986 (-2.03%). In 2022, Nonmetropolitan Iowa's population declined by -0.46% Nonmetropolitan Iowa Population: Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022 Figure 6. Over the past five decades some nonmetropolitan regions have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again traces the annual percent change in Nonmetropolitan Iowa's population since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022. During the 1970s, Nonmetropolitan Iowa's annual population growth rate averaged 0.10%. It averaged -0.96% in the 1980s, 0.01% in the 1990s, -0.31% throughout the 2000s, -0.21% during the 2010s, -0.35% thus far this decade (2020-2022). Population Growth: Average Annual Percent Change by Decade Figure 7. Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Nonmetropolitan Iowa noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Iowa and the nation. As the chart reveals, Nonmetropolitan Iowa's average annual population growth lagged Iowa's average during the 1970s (0.10% vs. 0.39%), amounted to less than Iowa's average throughout the 1980s (-0.96% vs. -0.51%), lagged Iowa's average in the 1990s (0.01% vs. 0.52%), fell below Iowa's average in the 2000s (-0.31% vs. 0.39%), lagged Iowa's average throughout the 2010s (-0.21% vs. 0.49%), and posted below Iowa's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (-0.35% vs. 0.17%). Finally, relative to nationwide population growth trends, Nonmetropolitan Iowa fell below the nation throughout the 1970s (0.10% vs. 1.10%), fell under the nation in the 1980s (-0.96% vs. 0.95%), trailed the nation throughout the 1990s (0.01% vs. 1.23%), recorded underneath the nation over the 2000s (-0.31% vs. 0.95%), lagged the nation throughout the 2010s (-0.21% vs. 0.74%), and fell below the nation over 2020-2022 (-0.35% vs. 0.31%).
| Analysis Options Menu |